The logistics industry has broad development space, and the whole supply chain service has become the focus of developmen
Logistics industry boom interval high operation
In June 2018, China's logistics boom index was 54.9%, down 1.2 percentage points from last month; China's warehousing index was 48.7%, down 1.8 percentage points from last month; and China's highway logistics freight index was 98.5, down 0.74% from last month.
In June 2018, the logistics boom index dropped slightly, but it still operated at a high level in the boom interval, reflecting the current logistics operation continues to be active. In terms of products, timber, machinery manufacturing and other industries continue to grow; driven by the promotion activities of e-commerce enterprises in the middle of the year, food, household appliances, cosmetics, daily necessities and other products related to people's livelihood have increased demand for logistics, express express express and other industries continue to grow.
Analysis and prediction of total logistics volume in China
According to the statistics released by the Institute of Prospective Industry, China's total social logistics volume in 2016 was 229.7 trillion yuan; by 2017, China's total social logistics volume was 252.8 trillion yuan, an increase of 6.7% compared with the same period in the first half of 2018. Total logistics amounted to 131 trillion and 100 billion yuan, up by 6.9% compared to the same price. It is estimated that China's total social logistics will reach 278 trillion yuan by 2018, the annual compound growth rate of the next five years (2018-2022) will be about 6.74%, and it will reach 361 trillion yuan by 2022.
Analysis and prediction of total logistics cost in Chinese Society
In 2016, the total cost of social logistics in China was 11.1 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.9% over the same period last year; in 2017, the total cost of social logistics in China was 12.1 trillion yuan, an increase of 9.2%; in the first half of 2018, the total cost of social logistics in China was 6.1 trillion yuan, an increase of 9% over the same period last year. It is estimated that the total cost of social logistics in China will reach 12.9 trillion yuan by 2018, and the annual compound growth rate in the next five years (2018-2022) will be about 5.25% and 15.9 trillion yuan by 2022.
Analysis of obstacles to development of logistics industry
1, the degree of specialization of logistics is not high.
At present, most logistics enterprises in our country still operate in accordance with the traditional logistics system, the level of informationization is low, the equipment is relatively backward, the technical level of transportation, storage and processing needs to be improved, the degree of specialization is low, can not meet the standard of modern logistics, can not meet the growing demand for specialized and customized logistics. . Due to the unreasonable layout, decentralized business, unable to form economies of scale and other issues in China's logistics industry, logistics mode is relatively single, logistics operation efficiency is still at a low level.
2, higher logistics costs.
With the continuous improvement of modern logistics and specialization, China's social logistics efficiency has gradually improved. In the world, the logistics efficiency of the whole economy is generally evaluated by the ratio of total logistics cost to GDP. The lower the ratio of total social logistics cost to GDP, the higher the logistics efficiency of the economy and the more developed the logistics industry. From 2009 to 2017, the ratio of the total cost of social logistics to GDP in China dropped from 18.1% to 14.6%, and the efficiency of logistics showed an overall trend of improvement. However, compared with the developed countries, the total cost of logistics accounts for about 10% of GDP, China's logistics costs are still at a higher level.
3. Use the logistics delivery channel to carry out illegal activities.
In recent years, with the flourishing of the logistics industry in various parts of the country, the number of cases of illegal criminals using logistics delivery channels to secretly carry out criminal activities is increasing, which brings great difficulty to the effective crackdown of public security organs. At present, there are four kinds of common cases of illegal and criminal activities by means of logistics delivery channels: sales of firearms and ammunition, drug trafficking, counterfeiting and network fraud.
Analysis of development trend of logistics industry
1, policy support
In February 2017, the Ministry of Commerce, the State Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Land and Resources, the Ministry of Transportation and the State Post Office issued the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan" for the Development of Trade and Logistics. It was proposed that during the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan", China will basically form a trade and logistics network with urban-rural coordination, regional coordination, and effective links between domestic and foreign countries, and basically establish a high level. Effective, intensive, collaborative, open and green business logistics system. According to the Plan, during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, the level of standardization, informationization, intensification and internationalization of China's commercial and trade logistics will be significantly improved, the level of standardization of pallets in the field of commercial and trade circulation will be greatly improved, the utilization rate of standard pallets will reach about 30%, and the application of advanced information technology will achieve remarkable results. The logistics cost rate of wholesale and retail enterprises will be reduced to about 7%, and the service quality and efficiency will be improved obviously.
2, the whole supply chain service has become the focus of the development of the industry.
With the refinement of social division of labor, modern production and manufacturing enterprises focus more on building core business and core competitiveness, and gradually outsource internal logistics to the third party logistics. With the continuous refinement of social division of labor and fierce competition in the upstream and downstream industries, customers'demand for logistics service providers becomes more high-end. Logistics enterprises are required to provide specialized, customized, supply chain integrated logistics services. Strengthening the control and service capabilities of the whole industry chain has become the key to highlight the value of logistics services. Streaming enterprises promote the cost optimization and efficiency maximization of the whole supply chain ecosphere by integrated management of the whole supply chain (from suppliers, manufacturers, distributors to consumers).
3, intelligent logistics will become the direction of development.
With the development of bandwidth, storage, computing and artificial intelligence, the digital revolution has been brought about. Logistics can be widely used in the Internet of Things, large data, cloud computing, robotics and other technical facilities to achieve intelligent and automatic operation. From the policy level
